Our experts, as always, are in search of a little more value down the odds board, however. Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. We can argue about how hampered he is, but he has some of the best tournament history in the field. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Theyre both inside the top 30 this season in birdie average. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick. He is playing well against elite fields and has proven that he can contend and win in any tournament he enters. Poston Repeat Last Years First-Round Heater? Cantlay/Schauffele (8.9 percent), 2. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. He was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Kramer Hickok ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com. Weekly Cheatsheets: If you are already an Awesemo.com frequent visitor, you know about these quick hitter cheatsheets that give you some ideas on who to play each week. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Hes playing well, with three straight top-25 finishes while peppering in three top-10 finishes within his last nine starts. Powers, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (-110) over Seamus Power (DraftKings) Not sure going against last weeks winner in a matchup has ever worked out in my favor, but I feel good about this one. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational sleepers could hit it big. Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,100 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). These odds, in a tournament where we typically see a few Vegas has been impressive since returning to action from offseason shoulder surgery. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. TPC Summerlin 8. Which overlooked golfer could pull off a victory that would pay off at more than 60-1? In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. We picked our first winner of the new season at the CJ Cup, with Lee Alldrick correctly predicting Rory McIlroys victory at Congaree at 7-1. Get Golf picks 2023 Honda Classic Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Alex Noren Fooling Everyone By Missing Cuts? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, and find out. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). The mid-range approaches aren't Schauffele's strength he was 185th on tour from 150-175 yards last season. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. Golf course Bay Hill Club and Lodge | Par 72 | 7,466 yards Course comparisons (according to Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Gdula: Russell Henley (+410, FanDuel) Henleys profile is a lot like Morikawas: hyper-accurate, elite irons, bad putting. Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+375 = Top 20) His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. ET, with world No. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. The Honda Classic is the first stop, and although. Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. Powers: Thomas Detry Might as well attempt to cash in on this hot streak while its happening. Thats his second top-25 finish in his first four starts during this campaign. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. The field includes 44 of the top 50 players in the World Rankings, which is the most of any event since the 2022 Open Championship. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-picks-predictions-odds-field-top-pga-expert-says-back-scottie-scheffler-this-week | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 . Palmer/Scheffler (5.4 percent). Against the Grain: A look at this weeks projected ownership from Jason Rouslin, and some against the grain plays to help provide variance in your GPP lineups. On this page, youll find all the golf DFS Content you need for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo, SuperDraft and FantasyDraft including: The First Cut: A comprehensive preview of the week to come, including a course breakdown, DFS slate breakdown, field breakdown, and so much more. (Photo: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports). The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Viktor Hovland (+100) over Scottie Scheffler (Bet365) As you can see above I dont fancy Schefflers chances this week. Gehman: Brendon Todd (+500, Bet365) Todd has found magic with his irons twice already during this season. Shriners: Sungjae Im. All rights reserved. managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. For the first time since his back injury last year, Zalatoris looked like himself again in his most recent start. On the odds board in Vegas, Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy top the list of favorites, followed by Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns. But we arent making one pick. Were making three. The future of golf betting? Heres what the PGA Tour thinks it will look like The game were playing is on Chirp, a free-to-play mobile game. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our betting panel has cashed three straight outright winnersand now we have a consensus bet. PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Preview: Can Viktor Hovland Put It All Together? Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be Look for these on Wednesday afternoons. Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. Stop Guessing and Start Winning! His last two starts have resulted in a T-11 and T-8, so clearly something is brewing for Day right now. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. Betting Preview for the Euro Tour: A quick hitter article for some Euro Tour action provided by both Ben Rasa and Jason Rouslin. Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? Harris English ($8,400 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. Morikawa is going to contend often this season with this stat profile. The Scotsman ranks seventh in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and this is the exact style of course where Knox can start taking these opportunities. After a dreadful few years, Tway is playing some of his best golf in recent memorymaking six of his last eight cuts. But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. Per stats guru Justin Ray, only two other players have pulled off the rare accomplishment in the past 40 years on tour. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! Though he was never really at the top on Sunday with a chance to win, he played great in the runner-up finish and that should translate to another chance to win here. Heres what we know: Hes likely to be a great ball-striker, like he was at Riviera, where he gained 13 strokes in the ball-striking categories, and he has gained in 19 of his past 22 measured starts. He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Todd also comes into the event ranked 12th for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and 20th for SG/total over the last two months. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (below) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Russell Henley (33-1, BetRivers) His four most recent results include two MCs and a 35th- and 45th-place finish. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? He gained strokes across the board and has shown significant improvements with the putter in recent months. This hasnt been the run of golf that Conners was hoping for this season. Aaron Baddeley Its not easy to get into the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard while navigating a season on Past Champion status, and hes in on merit to boot. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. If he can just stop losing a billion strokes off the tee each week, hell become a popular play again. Stadium Course at PGA West, Trending: 1. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. It just doesnt need to. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. Well do the same taking a couple from each article and summing it up for you! The PGA Tour is headed to TPC Louisiana for the Zurich Classic, a team event where the format of play rotates between best ball and alternate shot. 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions First Round Leader Picks: Aaron Wise Off to a Hot Start? Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results havent been close to elite in the swing season, but thats all 100 percent putting related. Listen to the Twilight 9 podcast! Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Ryan Palmer has a new partner this time around after playing with Jon Rahm for the past few seasons (and Jordan Spieth before him). If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Bay Hill rewards great approach players. I think theyre all viable plays, but the rest of the field is justifiably a tier behind them. Hes been competitive in the toughest fields of the year and will now get to battle a much weaker composition of his peers. Lee +19000J.J. Day is elite in multiple metrics. Mayo: Matt Kuchar (50-1, DraftKings) BACK to the scene of the crime from Kuch. Instead, the golfing world is heading to Vidanta Vallarta for the first time to play the Mexico Open this week. GolfDigest panel: Will Zalatoris (4), Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa Popular Types of Golf Betting Odds Types of bets and how to read the odds What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! This week, the PGA Tour is in Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club, a track designed by Donald Ross. Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Play with trusted, licensed operators. The ball striking? Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, including a long shot listed at 100-1 to win it all. Sepp Straka (T-35, T-30, T-3), Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc. Set a budget. Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. Bay Hill also had the longest set of par-3 lengths on average in non-major courses last year. Rory McIlroy, No. It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. Rock the Stokastic Avatar on DraftKings, FanDuel or Yahoo and Win Platinum! The odds are a bit too long as a result. See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Honda Classic. There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) I do worry about him coming in highly motivated after losing the No. 2023 Genesis Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Whats Wrong With Tom Kim? Aaron Wise ($9,200 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. RELATED: Worldwide Technology Championship DFS picks 2022: Scottie Schefflers glaring weakness. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! He was T3 and only two strokes back entering the finale. His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. TPC Louisiana | Par 72 | 7,425 yards | Pete Dye design, TPC Louisiana in Avondale, Louisiana. Birdie percentage: Birdies are king this week. If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Kuchar has also gained strokes in all three tee-to-green stats in both starts this season but has uncharacteristically lost strokes putting.