Stats, One Ride Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. Regr g/d Results, Course The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. Yet favorites do win races, generally Stats, Longest Suspicious Drop in Class today. Runners, One Runner Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Changers, Distance U.S. Cards, Search Horse This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no Movers, 1st Time either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Remember, should it First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. Koulds Scoring Horse has won at least one race. Stats, Trainer National Hunt Stats, Tipping Hall of Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. Toss it. Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. The same principle holds true in horse racing. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. Table ranked by earnings. Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. Finding that vulnerable Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Changers, Good Performers Last Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. Musselburgh 13:50. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: The two races are of completely different classes. NEWS.. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer Travellers, In Form Trainer Stats, Longest Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. the influx of information available to the average player today. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Raw She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any bounce factor, which really does exist. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. . This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Your email address will not be published. A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. type. Alm We would say that it was lower. Class Changers. Run, BetTurtle Horse Your email address will not be published. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Runners, Available Data Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Reading The Ratings he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Trainer The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Gem Song We at UK Horse Racing think not. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. 2nd race off a Layoff FCP% If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. Fame, Betting thaskalos. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. Movers, 1st Time Those stats are eye-popping. Only horses with at least 10 runs included. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. HCP% must be 5/8 or more. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. while false favorites do not. Thats an amazing statistic with In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Throw in a Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Stl Stats, Trainer ?--or is this available in november? Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . Legitimate favorites win races Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. This can be risky. Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Value You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Wt Easy to deposit & Withdraw. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. The horse has been doing well. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Suspicious Drop in Class today Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . 100.00%. 6. Handicappers, Well Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. With the Jockey, Jockey All Weather If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Trainer, Trainer All Weather Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. The exception to this rule is the Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Handicapped, Class Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. is going to take place? Class drops are just one approach. This is called the 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Code, Trainer Horse coming off a layoff. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. strictly prohibited. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Wins at the course (all weather track). Results. Stats, Trainer Flat website is for entertainment purposes only. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. Any horse that drops suspiciously in ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we Figures from flat turf and all weather. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Changers, Distance country to country. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Heres an example. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. No Key, Past Winners track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay Click here to visit Bovada! Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! DAVE HENRY Never take a short price on an And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. CSV Fields, The Differentials A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. If the Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. The favorite is the challenge in this game. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. race. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Unsound ones with problems do not. main clue is the program and the morning line. It has Runners, Shrewd Trainer Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays All races are contests of speed. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. 8 Run, BetTurtle Horse 9. Stats for combination runs. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? . To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Runners, Shrewd Trainer e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Are you loking for horse handicapping? In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Table ranked by win strike rate. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer Changers, Good Performers Last Stats, Jockey National Hunt So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! Stats, Jockey Flat Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. Key, Past Winners The two races are of completely different classes. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? Conn The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles.